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ELIO LIBERATORE Monte Carlo probability models for soccer, MLB, NFL, NHL, NBA and tennis, published as APIs and an MCP server.
Leaderboard position
out of 10,354
New actors
-
Total actors
#2,008
↓ -629
Monthly users
#1,935
↓ -426
Total users
#2,944
↓ -89
Monthly runs
#1,483
↓ -117
Total runs
#1,879
↑ +152
Portfolio stats
New actors
0
↓ -2
Total actors
8
+0
Monthly users
12
+0
Total users
28
↑ +8
Monthly runs
605
↑ +167
Total runs
2,408
↑ +1,095
New actors
Each bar shows one day in the last 30 days.
Portfolio concentration
5 of 8 actors cover 80%+ of monthly users.
Get win/draw/loss, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for upcoming soccer matches, computed from a Dixon-Coles bivariate Poisson model fitted on each team's real ESPN match history. Covers MLS, Liga MX, and 6 other leagues with per-match prediction markets.
42%
users
Monte Carlo win, playoff and title probabilities for NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA and soccer, plus model-vs-market edge vs live Kalshi prices. Ask in plain language from Claude, ChatGPT or Cursor. No API key.
17%
users
MLB playoff odds as data, not a web page. Monte Carlo replays every remaining game on the real schedule for division, wild card, postseason and top-seed probabilities for all 30 baseball teams, plus projected records, value bets vs sportsbook odds and Kelly bet sizing. No API key.
8%
users
Replays every remaining NBA game thousands of times for playoff, play-in, division, conference and championship probabilities for all 30 teams, priced against live Kalshi contracts.
8%
users
Replays every remaining NHL game thousands of times for playoff, division, wild card and Presidents' Trophy probabilities for all 32 teams, then prices them against live Kalshi contracts with fee-adjusted EV and Kelly sizing.
8%
users
ActorHunt MCP
ActorHunt gives paid members MCP access to keyword data, actor evidence, and Store movement for deciding what to build next.
